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BADgers @ Gophers --- Nov 5 & 7

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upnorthkid
(@upnorthkid)
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Quote: Walker? I Barely Know Her

 

Quote: upnorthkid

xG was 4-1 and 4-2 for WI.

How people calculate xG for NCAA games must be deeply flawed, because that's not even in the same universe as my cursory eye test or the underlying counting stats.

Todd on Friday night: https://twitter.com/toddmilewski/status/2116326219809493311?a=XMzTYfnuHH2EZxfaxMw&s=46

And on Sat, ND literally never had the puck again after they scored one sorta fluky goal in the 2nd period around the halfway mark.

 

Quote: upnorthkid

but you've now got higher end skill guys like the Nelsons taking misconducts, which is real bizarre.

On the B1G+ full game replay, it seemed more like crowd-control misconducts for the Nelson bros. And Sammy Nelson's hit on Palodichuk in Friday night's game also didn't seem all that malicious, more a 17y/o kid being awkward with his size and the pace of college hockey. He didn't seem angry or frustrated on that sequence at all.

Kerr, Klee, Werner, and Gruba were the main ones thugging it up and throwing malicious cheapshots all weekend.

think some of it Quinlan has been atrocious and has a -9.4 xGA and a .903 xSv% (so he's about 7% below expected). 

 

I agree their xG metrics are not great comparatively, more just referencing it wasn't a game that the xG were like 6 or 7-1. The goalies have to be not great to give up 9, but some of that can happen when you're just not playing as hard/pushing off your posts as quickly because you're getting shit on

 

on the penalties, more a team culture thing. not exactly what i'd want my high end talent playing if that's what you're surrounded by. Was referring to the older Nelson as the higher skilled misconduct because he has to on that type of team. Agree Sammy I don't think was a malicious penalty. just a bad place to develop


 
Posted : Tue. Nov 3, 2026 2:16 pm
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