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Based on Elo ratings number two in the world Spain will get lowest ranked round of 16 team Russia (45th) who has a home advantage for a slight boost.

Winner of Belgium England group deservedly gets also low ranked Japan (42nd).

Number one in the world Brazil gets third lowest round of 16 team Mexico, ranked 19th.

Overall the balance isn’t THAT bad, but top half of quarterfinals could look like a world cup final four.